All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Southwestern Small School Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Oak Hill Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Grant 4 |
New Haven Invitational |
Central Indiana Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
9/1 |
9/4 |
9/8 |
9/18 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
572 |
477 |
590 |
451 |
463 |
499 |
592 |
618 |
561 |
643 |
614 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
477 |
580 |
451 |
463 |
499 |
592 |
618 |
561 |
643 |
614 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Southwestern Small School Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Oak Hill Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Grant 4 |
New Haven Invitational |
Central Indiana Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 208 |
Raffi Fry |
11 |
17:00 |
17:29 |
17:14 |
16:16 |
17:00 |
16:46 |
17:01 |
17:07 |
16:53 |
17:14 |
17:03 |
| 247 |
Dillon Mitchell |
11 |
17:04 |
16:58 |
17:07 |
16:38 |
17:02 |
16:52 |
17:10 |
17:07 |
16:56 |
17:13 |
17:21 |
| 480 |
Macallister Cheek |
11 |
17:36 |
17:20 |
18:03 |
17:24 |
17:07 |
17:31 |
17:33 |
17:46 |
17:34 |
17:48 |
17:51 |
| 574 |
Tahj Johnson |
11 |
17:45 |
16:56 |
|
|
17:20 |
17:21 |
17:44 |
17:43 |
19:07 |
17:57 |
17:48 |
| 629 |
Sol O'Blenis |
9 |
17:50 |
17:42 |
17:46 |
17:39 |
17:42 |
17:48 |
18:01 |
18:05 |
17:42 |
17:54 |
17:41 |
| 822 |
Danny Nally |
11 |
18:07 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
17:30 |
17:22 |
17:42 |
18:07 |
18:55 |
|
18:36 |
18:38 |
| 869 |
Julian Garcia |
12 |
18:10 |
|
17:52 |
19:09 |
17:47 |
18:11 |
18:14 |
18:17 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
18:21 |
| 912 |
Colin Harts |
12 |
18:14 |
18:14 |
17:53 |
17:54 |
19:14 |
18:02 |
18:19 |
18:19 |
18:04 |
|
|
| 1,038 |
Landon Ashley |
9 |
18:23 |
18:36 |
18:41 |
17:48 |
18:46 |
18:14 |
18:14 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,159 |
Kody Dubois |
11 |
18:31 |
18:24 |
19:18 |
18:17 |
18:21 |
18:25 |
18:33 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
| 1,499 |
Lucas Cates |
9 |
18:56 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
19:07 |
19:07 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
Eli Harris |
11 |
22:56 |
24:09 |
19:00 |
22:43 |
|
23:45 |
22:53 |
22:04 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.3 |
383 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
6.5 |
11.2 |
17.9 |
28.2 |
20.2 |
6.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.6 |
94 |
0.6 |
9.5 |
27.1 |
57.1 |
5.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
68 |
1.3 |
29.5 |
69.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Raffi Fry |
0.3% |
90.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Dillon Mitchell |
0.1% |
90.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Raffi Fry |
100% |
64.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Dillon Mitchell |
100% |
72.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Macallister Cheek |
100% |
123.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.0% |
| Tahj Johnson |
100% |
132.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68.0% |
| Sol O'Blenis |
100% |
137.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.3% |
| Danny Nally |
100% |
150.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.8% |
| Julian Garcia |
100% |
152.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Raffi Fry |
100% |
9.1 |
|
0.3 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
10.4 |
10.7 |
9.8 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Dillon Mitchell |
100% |
11.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
3.1 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
7.0 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Macallister Cheek |
100% |
24.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
9.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Tahj Johnson |
100% |
27.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sol O'Blenis |
100% |
30.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Danny Nally |
100% |
40.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Julian Garcia |
100% |
42.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Raffi Fry |
7.0 |
|
0.2 |
1.7 |
5.6 |
12.4 |
15.2 |
15.6 |
15.5 |
12.8 |
9.4 |
6.0 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dillon Mitchell |
8.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
5.9 |
10.2 |
13.5 |
15.2 |
16.9 |
13.6 |
9.5 |
7.6 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Macallister Cheek |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
4.7 |
11.7 |
14.4 |
18.2 |
18.0 |
12.7 |
7.8 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Tahj Johnson |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.4 |
6.2 |
9.5 |
14.8 |
17.2 |
15.7 |
11.0 |
7.8 |
5.3 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
| Sol O'Blenis |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
5.0 |
8.0 |
13.1 |
15.0 |
15.7 |
12.9 |
8.8 |
6.5 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
| Danny Nally |
23.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
4.3 |
8.0 |
8.5 |
11.2 |
10.8 |
10.6 |
9.9 |
| Julian Garcia |
24.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
10.4 |
|
